Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.013656 0.015891 0.018360 0.021289 0.024665 0.028434 0.032957
2025-12-28 0.010795 0.013803 0.017434 0.022130 0.028034 0.035203 0.044562
2026-01-04 0.008690 0.012059 0.016447 0.022562 0.030842 0.041640 0.056771
2026-01-11 0.006817 0.010177 0.014862 0.021835 0.031915 0.045911 0.066773
2026-01-18 0.005582 0.008899 0.013811 0.021566 0.033442 0.050871 0.078298
2026-01-25 0.004571 0.007737 0.012694 0.020950 0.034274 0.054826 0.088788
2026-02-01 0.003828 0.006849 0.011824 0.020527 0.035258 0.059033 0.100100
2026-02-08 0.003279 0.006174 0.011174 0.020323 0.036504 0.063726 0.112684
2026-02-15 0.002783 0.005501 0.010409 0.019781 0.037055 0.067268 0.123697
2026-02-22 0.002558 0.005285 0.010413 0.020590 0.040063 0.075333 0.143485
2026-03-01 0.002260 0.004877 0.009994 0.020540 0.041458 0.080651 0.158901
2026-03-08 0.001934 0.004354 0.009273 0.019788 0.041393 0.083227 0.169444
2026-03-15 0.001701 0.003993 0.008833 0.019559 0.042370 0.087982 0.184941
2026-03-22 0.001611 0.003930 0.009002 0.020620 0.046123 0.098634 0.213456
2026-03-29 0.001488 0.003771 0.008941 0.021176 0.048880 0.107590 0.239569
2026-04-05 0.001297 0.003419 0.008395 0.020569 0.049020 0.111100 0.254615
2026-04-12 0.001157 0.003167 0.008042 0.020354 0.050002 0.116510 0.274389
2026-04-19 0.001016 0.002885 0.007574 0.019791 0.050097 0.119960 0.290180
2026-04-26 0.000902 0.002656 0.007199 0.019400 0.050541 0.124237 0.308336
2026-05-03 0.000812 0.002476 0.006921 0.019212 0.051451 0.129680 0.329823
2026-05-10 0.000719 0.002269 0.006541 0.018701 0.051476 0.133009 0.346599
2026-05-17 0.000687 0.002238 0.006634 0.019469 0.054911 0.145041 0.386148
2026-05-24 0.000628 0.002112 0.006440 0.019422 0.056175 0.151795 0.413175